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Dota 2 Betting Preview for WePlay! Pushka League Season 1 Playoffs




WePlay Pushka League Season 1 is a big Dota 2 tournament under the current circumstances, featuring 14 teams from Europe and CIS and offering $250,000 in prizes. The event started on April 23rd and is now about to enter the Playoffs Stage. Five more days full of spectacular matches and esports betting opportunities await, and in this article, I will offer you a preview of what you should expect.

WePlay Pushka League Season 1: Group Stage Lessons

The Group Stage of WePlay Pushka League Season 1 went pretty much according to plan, even though the European group had some major upsets. Both OG and Nigma, the two Grand Finalists of TI 9 (even though Nigma was playing under Liquid’s banner at the time) got eliminated. Both teams had abysmal performances and ended with severe match deficits. OG went 2 W – 4 L while Nigma ended with 1 W – 5 L. That’s absolutely unthinkable and was likely a result of high pings. Otherwise, it doesn’t make much sense for OG, the Grand Finalist of the recent ESL One Los Angeles Online, to lose so many matches against opponents of lower skill in most cases.

Nigma’s case is somewhat understandable, given its performance at recent events. But still, just one win in 6 matches is shameful. I’m not sure what KuroKy is going through, but his team is full of superstar players, has competed in two TI finals and won one of them, and in spite of all this, they simply cannot win games against their regional rivals. It is true that the meta has changed dramatically over the last 6 months. But even so, Nigma should be able to adapt to the new conditions, just like everyone else did. It’s simply not possible for one of the strongest lineups of 2017, 2018 and 2019 to fall so much in the global rankings and start to lose match after match.

These were the full results of both groups:

Group A

1st place

Team Secret

5 W – 1 L

+8 rounds

2nd place

Alliance

5 W – 1 L

+5 rounds

3rd place

Team Liquid

4 W – 2 L

+3 rounds

4th place

Ninjas in Pyjamas

3 W – 3 L

+0 rounds

5th place

OG

2 W – 4 L

-2 rounds

6th place

Team Nigma

1 W – 5 L

-8 rounds

7th place

OG.Seed

1 W – 5 L

-6 rounds

Group B

1st place

HellRaisers

5 W – 1 L

+7 rounds

2nd place

Virtus.pro

4 W – 2 L

+4 rounds

3rd place

VP.Prodigy

4 W – 2 L

+3 rounds

4th place

Natus Vincere

4 W – 2 L

+2 rounds

5th place

FlyToMoon

3 W – 3 L

+0 rounds

6th place

Team Spirit

1 W – 5 L

-4 rounds

7th place

B8

0 W – 6 L

-12 rounds

In Group A (Europe), the big teams to watch in the Playoffs are obviously Secret and Alliance. Both of them had phenomenal performances and only lost one match. It should be noted here that Alliance lost to Secret, Secret lost to Liquid and Liquid lost to Alliance. Talk about rock-paper-scissors! We’ll see how this will play out in the second stage of WePlay Pushka League Season 1.

In Group B (CIS), the situation was a lot closer, with 3 teams having the exact same score and the top 4 teams being separated by just one victory. Two things are critical to take note of going into the Playoffs of the tournament. First of all, HellRaisers played its best Group Stage of its last several years. Apart from VP.Prodigy, it managed to beat everyone in style. The second thing worth noting is that both VP and VP.P had the same score. This is again impressive because VP.P is VP’s academy team. So just like everyone else, I’m wondering what it’s doing there, next to its parent team.

Luckily for the organizers, VP and VP.P have little to no chance of meeting in the Playoffs, simply because they would both have to win two Upper Bracket matches in order for that to happen. And that’s highly unlikely. But even if they don’t meet in the Upper Bracket Final, Virtus.pro and VP.Prodigy might still meet in the Lower Bracket or even the Grand Final. The question is: how does one avoid match-fixing when two teams that belong to the same organization face each other in an important and most likely eliminatory match?

Team Analysis for the Playoffs

Here’s a brief analysis of the 8 teams that are left in the race.

Team Secret Is The Big Favourite

1.15* To win vs Natus Vincere

Team Secret has been very consistent not just this year, but in its last three seasons. This competitor is currently ranked 3rd globally and is by far the strongest one at WePlay Pushka League Season 1, at least in theory. The Group Stage proved that Secret’s in great shape, but they’re quite famous for messing up and losing early in the Playoffs. Overall, Secret’s expected to get a top 3 result here.

Alliance Is Back

1.37* To win vs VP.Prodigy

Alliance is a completely new team with s4 in it. And of course, fng, who is currently standing in for the team’s missing 5th. The way things are going, I wouldn’t be surprised to see the veteran from Belarus jump from one train to another one. Alliance is truly a strong team right now and will likely maintain its form going forward. Anything less than a top 4 result at WePlay Pushka League Season 1 would be a lost opportunity for them.

Team Liquid Has Low Chances Of Winning

2.63* To win vs Virtus.Pro

Team Liquid is ranked just below Alliance in the Dota Pro Circuit, sitting at number 7. Liquid only lost against Alliance and NiP at this tournament, so they might do well against Virtus.pro in the first Upper Bracket match. VP didn’t look very strong in the CIS group, and that’s a good reason to cheer for Liquid.

Ninjas in Pyjamas Has An Impossible Task

2.08* To win vs HellRaisers

NiP is SoNNeikO’s squad, which got acquired overnight by NiP, after ppd and UNiVeRsE announced their retirement, thus dissolving the roster. The former Chicken Fighters are now fighting very hard for a place in the Semifinals. Next opponent is HellRaisers.

HellRaisers Is The Most Impressive Team Of The Tournament

1.71* To win vs Ninjas In Pyjamas

Along with Alliance, HellRaisers is the big surprise of this tournament. The team had shown clear signs of strength even before WePlay Pushka League Season 1 began, performing well at other events. And the fact that RodjER is part of the roster makes everyone excited to watch them. But now it has been confirmed: HR is a top CIS team once more. Going forward, I expect to see them finish at least in the top 4.

Virtus.pro Had An Average Group Stage, But Who Knows?

1.46* To win vs Team Liquid

VP had a modest performance for its level but still managed to win 4 of the 6 matches it played. What’s worrying is that they lost two of the important matches and among the victories, two don’t matter at all (against B8 and Spirit). We’ll see what happens in the Playoffs but VP tends to do better as competitions reach higher stages.

VP.Prodigy Will Likely Finish Somewhere In The Middle

2.98* To win vs The Alliance

VP.P won the title at Gaming World and StaHome Challenge in April, clearly proving their skills against important teams such as Vikin.gg. At this event, they won 4 matches in Group B and are now looking to beat Alliance in the Quarterfinals. They will start as underdogs against s4’s team.

Natus Vincere Is One Of The Weakest Teams Left

5.12* To win vs Team Secret

And finally, we have Natus Vincere. I’m not impressed at all with this team and it’s actually surprising they’ve qualified for the Playoffs. Being weaker than at least 5 of the other 7 competitors, Na’Vi has minimal chances of getting a good result here.

WePlay! Pushka League Season 1: Division 1 (WW-EUR) Betting Odds

This tournament got loads of markets to place a bet on, from specific maps, handicap total to even dynamic market. Head over to the WePlay! Pushka League Season 1: Division 1 (WW-EUR) Betting Odds event page and see for yourself.

Betting Odds for WePlay! Pushka League Season 1: Division 1 (WW-EUR)

*Odds are subject to change